Kenya’s Orange Democratic Movement is pushing for a bigger stake in President William Ruto government, with senior officials openly eyeing the deputy president position as the price for continued support ahead of the 2027 elections.
Oburu signals long-term deal
Siaya Senator Oburu Oginga, who now leads Orange Democratic Movement after the death of his brother Raila Odinga, has hinted that the party’s cooperation with United Democratic Alliance could run beyond 2027.
Speaking at a recent event, Oburu pointed to sweeping joint victories in the 28 November by-elections as evidence of public backing. “Kenyans have shown they want this unity, and it can form the basis for a longer arrangement,” he told supporters.
Deputy presidency on the table
The comments have sparked talk that Orange Democratic Movement wants the deputy president slot, currently held by Kithure Kindiki, to lock in Ruto re-election support from the party’s western Kenya stronghold.
President Ruto has already brought several senior Orange Democratic Movement figures into an expanded “broad-based” cabinet, a move that ended years of fierce rivalry. Ruto himself started his political career in Orange Democratic Movement before forming United Democratic Alliance.
Backlash from Mount Kenya
The idea of replacing Kindiki has triggered strong resistance from Ruto core Mount Kenya base. Nandi Senator Samson Cherargei, a United Democratic Alliance hardliner, insisted the presidency and deputy presidency are “ring-fenced”. “Those who want to join government are welcome in other positions,” he said.
Cracks inside Orange Democratic Movement
Former deputy president Rigathi Gachagua, now heading the new Democratic Change Party after his impeachment, accused Orange Democratic Movement leaders Gladys Wanga and Junet Mohamed of “selling out” the party. At a Nairobi rally, he invited dissatisfied members such as Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna and Embakasi East MP Babu Owino to join him.
Inside Orange Democratic Movement, Vihiga Senator Godfrey Osotsi criticised Ruto for ignoring key reforms and failing to honour Raila Odinga legacy. Kisumu Woman Representative Ruth Odinga, Raila’s sister, ruled out any merger, saying the party will back Ruto only until 2027.
Mixed by-election message
The 28 November by-elections saw United Democratic Alliance-Orange Democratic Movement candidates dominate parliamentary races, but the alliance also suffered setbacks in areas linked to National Assembly Speaker Moses Wetang’ula and Deputy President Kindiki.
Tightrope for Ruto
Analysts say Ruto risks losing Mount Kenya if he sidelines Kindiki, yet rejecting Orange Democratic Movement demands could cost him western Kenya votes.
“Ruto is walking a tightrope,” said Nairobi-based commentator Nerima Wako. “Orange Democratic Movement brings votes, but loyalty from his original base is non-negotiable.”
A senior Orange Democratic Movement official told this reporter the party believes it deserves the deputy presidency after giving up its opposition role. “We need protection for our interests,” the official said on condition of anonymity.
President Ruto has praised the partnership but avoided firm commitments on top positions. Sources close to State House say talks continue, with Orange Democratic Movement possibly accepting more cabinet seats or control of state corporations instead.
Echoes of 2008 deal
The negotiations recall the 2008 power-sharing agreement that made Raila Odinga prime minister. With Raila gone, Oburu appears determined to keep Orange Democratic Movement at the centre of power.
Any miscalculation could open space for figures such as Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka or the outspoken Gachagua.
On Nairobi streets, voters remain sceptical. “They are only chasing positions,” said Jane Muthoni, a vegetable seller in Gikomba market. “What about jobs, hospitals and the price of unga?”
With inflation high and youth unemployment stubborn, early 2027 manoeuvring has already begun – and the deputy presidency may prove the decisive bargaining chip.
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